Buried in Numbers

THIS INFINITE GAME cover image with brush strokes and ouroboros

Last year, my wife named the bottleneck in her architectural design business. Clients hire her for her eye, her taste, the way she communicates a vision. Yet contract drafting, order tracking, bookkeeping, and invoicing consumed almost half her working hours each week. To take on more clients—to serve more peoplewith what they hire her for—required space she did not have.

We debated a part-time assistant. Then Claude Cowork launched. Over three weeks, we trained it to draft her contracts, track her orders, keep her books, and generate her invoices. Once trained, it cut her administrative hours by more than half. The hours she got back went not to idle leisure, but to all that makes her come alive: designing, observing, researching, sitting across the table from clients.

The debate over whether AI will save or enslave us misses what is already true: it is working in service of humanity today. The unlock is naming what in your work is rote administration and what is uniquely human.

Traders, buried in numbers and models, see only the first.

One trader I know described “market feel” as the heart of his process. We ran the same exercise: which hours crowded out cultivating that feel? The tedious logging of trades in his journal. In one week, we trained AI to read a single post-mortem chart and file every trade for him. The hours he got back went straight to what only he can read: order flow, closing auctions, news failures.

Another intuits price structure so well he manages open positions better than any ruleset he can write. His bottleneck was getting into positions at all. He would loop on analysis, find imperfections in every setup, or become overwhelmed by opportunity in fast-moving markets. AI now enters every valid setup—at conservative size with a stop attached—for him. It never hesitates, never second-guesses his rules. He arrives at his desk each morning, unencumbered, to do what he does best: manage open exposure.

The verdict is in. AI is here to serve our humanity—to accentuate what each of us does that no system can replace. Which part of your craft is purely administrative? Which part is unmistakably you?

Name both, and the future so many are still debating becomes yours today.

Equities vs. Energy

The Nasdaq’s December contract held its breakout this week from a 3.5-month head-and-shoulders continuation. Price is now right up against the prior high from June, an important level to watch next week.

E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (Dec 2026) (NQZ2026), 1D

The Nikkei has a similar look, having broken out Thursday from a 3-month multi-point trendline.

NIKKEI 225 Index Futures (NK1!), 1D

A potential threat to equity resilience is energy. Brent futures are forming what could be a 5.5-month head-and-shoulders continuation.

Brent Last Day Financial Futures (BZ1!), 1D

The same structure appears in WTI. November crude oil is flagging above its 50-day SMA after reaching the 1x measured move target of its 3-month head-and-shoulders continuation.

Crude Oil Futures (Nov 2026) (CLX2026), 1D

Last week, we speculated that a pullback in corn could be imminent after price had reached the 1x measured move target of a 3-month head-and-shoulders continuation on the daily timeframe. The competing view was the 2-year symmetrical triangle on the weekly timeframe, flagging at half-mast on the way to its 1x measured move target. One of the two views had to break, and it did on Wednesday as the pullback on the daily played out. A member of The Collective noted that the midweek selloff was a 3-standard-deviation move.

Corn Futures (Dec 2026) (ZCZ2026), 1D

Despite last week’s impulsive selloff, the weekly timeframe maintains its bullish structure, with price well above the upper boundary of the 2-year symmetrical triangle and a 1x measured move target at 589.25.

Corn Futures (ZC1!), 1W

November feeder cattle attempted to break out on Thursday from a 2.5-month head-and-shoulders before reversing back to the neckline on Friday. Thursday’s high at 336.875 becomes the level to watch for a secondary completion.

Feeder Cattle Futures (Nov 2026) (GFX2026), 1D

Other agricultural commodities firmed. White sugar futures held the 50-day SMA for the second time since their June breakout from a 3-month symmetrical triangle. Both 1x and 2x measured move targets have been reached.

White Sugar Futures (W1!), 1D

The London cocoa pattern previously labeled a cup-and-handle has morphed into a 3-month ascending channel. Price found support at the lower boundary twice in two weeks.

London Cocoa Futures (C1!), 1D

December soybean oil looked primed to break down this week from the 4-month symmetrical triangle we have been tracking, but found buyers at the lower boundary each time. The more times a level is tested, the more vulnerable that level becomes to failure. Both upper and lower boundaries have now been tested multiple times.

Soybean Oil Futures (Dec 2026) (ZLZ2026), 1D

Forex in Focus

There are a number of large ranges in currencies at the moment. AUD/JPY is testing the lower boundary of a 6-month rectangle.

Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen (AUDJPY), 1D

EUR/AUD continues to coil inside a 6.5-month descending triangle.

Euro / Australian Dollar (EURAUD), 1D

And Australian dollar futures have formed an 8.5-month head-and-shoulders top.

Australian Dollar Futures (6A1!), 1D

The Pauses That Refresh

My recent equity screens continue to reveal a sharply divided market, presenting a diverse mix of long and short setups alongside continuation and reversal patterns.

On Friday, Dean Christians, our Lead Equity Market Strategist, issued a report for members of The Collective regarding the accelerating stealth correction he has been tracking. Notably, the equal-weighted S&P 500 is pacing toward its seventh consecutive weekly decline—a streak not observed since the 2022 bear market—even as the standard SPX remains within 2% of its all-time high. Dean describes this market environment as “unprecedented,” making his analysis required reading for anyone managing equity-focused portfolios.

Below are the names that caught my attention in this week’s equity screen:


Active watchlists, real-time positioning updates, and live portfolio tracking are reserved for members of The Collective, our premier service offering discussions on high-level theory and performance, differentiated research, and a global community of serious traders and investors dedicated to mastery. Learn more about The Collective here.

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Brandon Beylo

Value Investor

Brandon has been a professional investor focusing on value for over 13 years, spending his time in small to micro-cap companies, spin-offs, SPACs, and deep value liquidation situations. Over time, he’s developed a deeper understanding for what deep-value investing actually means, and refined his philosophy to include any business trading at a wild discount to what he thinks its worth in 3-5 years.

Brandon has a tenacious passion for investing, broad-based learning, and business. He previously worked for several leading investment firms before joining the team at Macro Ops. He lives by the famous Munger mantra of trying to get a little smarter each day.

AK

Investing & Personal Finance

AK is the founder of Macro Ops and the host of Fallible.

He started out in corporate economics for a Fortune 50 company before moving to a long/short equity investment firm.

With Macro Ops focused primarily on institutional clients, AK moved to servicing new investors just starting their journey. He takes the professional research and education produced at Macro Ops and breaks it down for beginners. The goal is to help clients find the best solution for their investing needs through effective education.

Tyler Kling

Volatility & Options Trader

Former trade desk manager at $100+ million family office where he oversaw multiple traders and helped develop cutting edge quantitative strategies in the derivatives market.

He worked as a consultant to the family office’s in-house fund of funds in the areas of portfolio manager evaluation and capital allocation.

Certified in Quantitative Finance from the Fitch Learning Center in London, England where he studied under famous quants such as Paul Wilmott.

Alex Barrow

Macro Trader

Founder and head macro trader at Macro Ops. Alex joined the US Marine Corps on his 18th birthday just one month after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. He subsequently spent a decade in the military. Serving in various capacities from scout sniper to interrogator and counterintelligence specialist. Following his military service, he worked as a contract intelligence professional for a number of US agencies (from the DIA to FBI) with a focus on counterintelligence and terrorist financing. He also spent time consulting for a tech company that specialized in building analytic software for finance and intelligence analysis.

After leaving the field of intelligence he went to work at a global macro hedge fund. He’s been professionally involved in markets since 2005, has consulted with a number of the leading names in the hedge fund space, and now manages his own family office while running Macro Ops. He’s published over 300 white papers on complex financial and macroeconomic topics, writes regularly about investment/market trends, and frequently speaks at conferences on trading and investing.

Macro Ops is a market research firm geared toward professional and experienced retail traders and investors. Macro Ops’ research has been featured in Forbes, Marketwatch, Business Insider, and Real Vision as well as a number of other leading publications.

You can find out more about Alex on his LinkedIn account here and also find him on Twitter where he frequently shares his market research.