This week’s episode explores the evolution of the volatility market throughout the equity drawdown between June 5th and June 10th. It evaluates the role the VIX futures curve played in absorbing the sell-off and stabilizing the broader market, which set the stage for the late-week recovery. Topics discussed:
- The preservation of VIX futures contango and resetting of the market’s defensive cushion
- Recent trajectory shifts within the HRV and EWS proprietary market models
- Rapid contractions in one-month implied correlations and single-stock implied volatility
- Internal equity market rotation favoring small-caps and banks over mega-cap technology
- A developing multi-week divergence between high-yield corporate bonds and the S&P
Here we go!