FULL EMPLOYMENT, MASSIVE DEFICITS…

Summary: The weight of the evidence says the pain trade remains higher, but there are growing cracks and mounting evidence (RoC in yields, diverging internals, weakening breadth) suggesting we will likely see a small 3-5% correction first. FOMC this week with market pricing in 90% odds of a 25bps hike. At this point, it’d be […]