Welcome to this week’s episode of Vol Street Journal™!
The bulls defended the 6800 level for the third time this week, but underneath the surface, the ‘internal thermometer’ is still running hot. In Episode 13, I break down why the VIX floor is structurally migrating higher and what a rising MOVE index is telling us about the bond market’s growing discomfort—even as rates drop.
We also dive into index level rotation, volatility composition, and why the current VX curve inversion might be noisier than it looks with February expiration just days away.
Also inside this week’s episode:
- A VVIX divergence on Tuesday that anticipated Thursday’s VOL spike.
- Why 16 is becoming the ‘new basement’ for the VIX.
- The mechanical reality of sustaining a vol spike from the 20s.
Here we go!