Two Free Breakout Alerts For The Week Ahead

Once a month we’ll feature a breakout (or two) from our premium Breakout Alerts service. This service is for members only and highlights half-a-dozen potential breakouts each week! We’ve had decent success this year with the service and returned nearly 20% in Q1.

This article features two new breakout alerts that will go out to our premium members over the weekend.

Let’s dive in!


Breakout #1: Wedge Industries (000534)

Business Description: Wedge Industrial Co., Ltd. invests in, develops, sells, and operates real estate properties in China. It also engages in power generation and steam heat supply activities.

The company was formerly known as Guangdong Wanze Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Wedge Industrial Co., Ltd. in May 2013. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Shantou, China. – TIKR.com

Financials:

    • Market Cap: $622M
    • Enterprise Value: $675M
    • EV/EBIT: 36x
    • ROC: 2.90%
    • 3YR Avg. FCF: -$30M

What We Like:

    • Reduction in share count
    • Pays a dividend
    • EBIT covers interest expense 1.50x

What We Don’t Like:

    • Burning cash
    • Lots of debt
    • No room for error in lower earnings on debt payments (could slip into failing covenants)

Chart Analysis:

Short Trade Parameters:

    • 3% Entry: $8.32
    • 1.50% Entry: $8.45
    • Stop-Loss: $8.92
    • Profit Target: $6.95
    • Reward/Risk: 3.20x


Breakout #2: Xilinx, Inc. (XLNX)

Business Description: Xilinx, Inc. designs and develops programmable devices and associated technologies worldwide. The company offers integrated circuits (ICs) in the form of programmable logic devices (PLDs), such as programmable system on chips, and three dimensional ICs; adaptive compute acceleration platform; software design tools to program the PLDs; software development environments and embedded platforms; targeted reference designs; printed circuit boards; and intellectual property (IP) core licenses covering Ethernet, memory controllers, Interlaken, and peripheral component interconnect express interfaces, as well as domain-specific IP in the areas of embedded, digital signal processing and connectivity, and market-specific IP cores. – TIKR.com

Financials:

    • Market Cap: $22.13B
    • Enterprise Value: $21.17B
    • P/Normalized E: 33.19x
    • EV/EBIT: 30x
    • FCF Margin: 28.6%

What We Like:

    • FCF positive 10 straight years
    • 60%+ Gross Margins
    • 25% Operating Income Margins
    • Decreasing Share Count
    • Net Cash

What We Don’t Like:

    • Cyclical industry
    • Loads of competition
    • Increase cash conversion
    • Increase Days Inventory

Chart Analysis:

Long Trade Parameters:

    • 3% Entry: $95.05
    • 1.50% Entry: $93.66
    • Stop-Loss: $85.37
    • Profit Target: $117.78
    • Reward/Risk: 2.91x

That does it for this week’s featured breakouts. If you’re interested in learning more about our premium service, drop us an email or comment down below. We’d love to chat with you!

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Brandon Beylo

Value Investor

Brandon has been a professional investor focusing on value for over 13 years, spending his time in small to micro-cap companies, spin-offs, SPACs, and deep value liquidation situations. Over time, he’s developed a deeper understanding for what deep-value investing actually means, and refined his philosophy to include any business trading at a wild discount to what he thinks its worth in 3-5 years.

Brandon has a tenacious passion for investing, broad-based learning, and business. He previously worked for several leading investment firms before joining the team at Macro Ops. He lives by the famous Munger mantra of trying to get a little smarter each day.

AK

Investing & Personal Finance

AK is the founder of Macro Ops and the host of Fallible.

He started out in corporate economics for a Fortune 50 company before moving to a long/short equity investment firm.

With Macro Ops focused primarily on institutional clients, AK moved to servicing new investors just starting their journey. He takes the professional research and education produced at Macro Ops and breaks it down for beginners. The goal is to help clients find the best solution for their investing needs through effective education.

Tyler Kling

Volatility & Options Trader

Former trade desk manager at $100+ million family office where he oversaw multiple traders and helped develop cutting edge quantitative strategies in the derivatives market.

He worked as a consultant to the family office’s in-house fund of funds in the areas of portfolio manager evaluation and capital allocation.

Certified in Quantitative Finance from the Fitch Learning Center in London, England where he studied under famous quants such as Paul Wilmott.

Alex Barrow

Macro Trader

Founder and head macro trader at Macro Ops. Alex joined the US Marine Corps on his 18th birthday just one month after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. He subsequently spent a decade in the military. Serving in various capacities from scout sniper to interrogator and counterintelligence specialist. Following his military service, he worked as a contract intelligence professional for a number of US agencies (from the DIA to FBI) with a focus on counterintelligence and terrorist financing. He also spent time consulting for a tech company that specialized in building analytic software for finance and intelligence analysis.

After leaving the field of intelligence he went to work at a global macro hedge fund. He’s been professionally involved in markets since 2005, has consulted with a number of the leading names in the hedge fund space, and now manages his own family office while running Macro Ops. He’s published over 300 white papers on complex financial and macroeconomic topics, writes regularly about investment/market trends, and frequently speaks at conferences on trading and investing.

Macro Ops is a market research firm geared toward professional and experienced retail traders and investors. Macro Ops’ research has been featured in Forbes, Marketwatch, Business Insider, and Real Vision as well as a number of other leading publications.

You can find out more about Alex on his LinkedIn account here and also find him on Twitter where he frequently shares his market research.